I think there is a typo in here. "Any 80-year-old who got Covid-19 and survived probably already had a somewhat shorter life expectancy than an 80-year-old who got the virus and died."
It would be interesting to see what portion of lost life expectancy was from increases in accidental deaths (all cause - overdose, homicide, etc).
There’s roughly 200,000 excess accidental deaths 2020-2022 (40k in 2020, 80k in 2021 and 2022). That’s only ~16% of total excess deaths, but since it hits such a younger cohort could make a disproportionate impact on the life expectancy decline.
Yeah it's a significant portion of the lost life expectancy in younger people, but gets to be increasingly smaller of a share as you look in older age groups. We have some work looking at this I've been meaning to get to...
I hope you checked the CGPT-generated charts. It probably made up the numbers, sold them to the Russians, then sold you out to the Feds for doing that. Other than that, no issues. ;)
hahah! Well fortunately it was mostly a conceptual graph, not a numerical one. That said, I absolutely had to keep telling it to revise things because it was making the graphs have different densities (that is, area under the curve), when I wanted that to be constant. It definitely needs guidance and a sharp eye!
I think there is a typo in here. "Any 80-year-old who got Covid-19 and survived probably already had a somewhat shorter life expectancy than an 80-year-old who got the virus and died."
Fixed! Oops!
Fixed on Substack, not FB though
not sure I can fix that there...
It would be interesting to see what portion of lost life expectancy was from increases in accidental deaths (all cause - overdose, homicide, etc).
There’s roughly 200,000 excess accidental deaths 2020-2022 (40k in 2020, 80k in 2021 and 2022). That’s only ~16% of total excess deaths, but since it hits such a younger cohort could make a disproportionate impact on the life expectancy decline.
Fascinating ChatGP made those graphs!
Yeah it's a significant portion of the lost life expectancy in younger people, but gets to be increasingly smaller of a share as you look in older age groups. We have some work looking at this I've been meaning to get to...
I hope you checked the CGPT-generated charts. It probably made up the numbers, sold them to the Russians, then sold you out to the Feds for doing that. Other than that, no issues. ;)
hahah! Well fortunately it was mostly a conceptual graph, not a numerical one. That said, I absolutely had to keep telling it to revise things because it was making the graphs have different densities (that is, area under the curve), when I wanted that to be constant. It definitely needs guidance and a sharp eye!