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Ryan McCormick, M.D.'s avatar

Oops, typed this as I was falling asleep - 1:2100 rate was hospitalizations, not death, and over 65 population... nonetheless 565 US deaths per day does translate into A LOT of unreported Covid spreading freely right now. If NYT reporting 40k people hospitalized, and most are probably 65+, and the rate is somewhere around 1:2100 - that still a staggering number of covid cases. Tens of millions, right?

Anyway my math speculations aren’t that solid, but looking at NYT reporting 60k daily infections and 40k current hospitalizations... they should just stop with the daily cases already and pick a better metric. Sewage. But who wants to read that 🤢

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Ryan McCormick, M.D.'s avatar

Thanks for introducing me to Ben Mazer, I’ve read his articles in The Atlantic. Curious about metformin, too. I’m thinking this won’t hold up as well in non-obese?

Educating and persuading the average patient to take this will be a challenge

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Jeremy Faust, MD's avatar

I’m somewhere between cautiously optimistic and cautiously pessimistic. Which is better than usual

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Ryan McCormick, M.D.'s avatar

I’m on a long weekend off so I’m having a bit more time to think and catch up on reading everywhere ... I just saw NYT covid tracking for yesterday reporting 566 US deaths. Horrifying that people don’t care anymore about this sort of daily carnage, and if we assume the mortality rate from your prior data parsing is around 1:2,200 then does that equate to 1,245,200 Covid cases per day occurring right now (or 1-2 weeks prior as death rates lag infection rates)?

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John Stiller's avatar

Like the “what I am reading,”, particularly when annotated.

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Jeremy Faust, MD's avatar

Noted! Wasn’t sure whether my added comments were good or distracting. Thx!

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